Football · Brazil Serie A · 06/09, 21:00

Prediction: Remo vs Flamengo

Team pages: Remo · Flamengo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Remo0.93

Flamengo1.87

1X2

17% 24% 59%

Remo Draw Flamengo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Remo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWLDDL

Flamengo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDWWL

Head-to-head

Remo 0–1 Flamengo (1 last)

Flamengo3-0Remo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remo 1460 · Flamengo 1604

	Remo	Draw	Flamengo
Our model	17%	24%	58%
Market	18%	24%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (rating 1460 vs 1604).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Remo	Flamengo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.25

X3.90

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:41 +4’	5.25	3.90	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 0–0–1 Flamengo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Brazil Serie A	Flamengo	3-0 HT 1-0	Remo

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Palmeiras	24	15	6	3	44	20	51
2	Flamengo	23	13	6	4	45	21	45
3	Athletico Paranaense	25	13	6	6	37	25	45
4	Fluminense	25	11	9	5	39	32	42
5	Cruzeiro	25	11	6	8	35	36	39
6	EC Bahia	24	9	10	5	34	28	37
7	Atletico Mineiro	24	10	6	8	32	28	36
8	Bragantino	24	10	5	9	29	25	35
9	Coritiba	24	9	7	8	30	31	34
10	Corinthians	24	8	8	8	26	24	32
11	Sao Paulo	24	8	6	10	29	28	30
12	Botafogo	23	8	6	9	37	37	30
13	Vitoria	25	8	5	12	24	37	29
14	Santos	23	6	8	9	33	36	26
15	Gremio	23	6	7	10	24	31	25
16	Vasco da Gama	24	6	7	11	27	39	25
17	Internacional	24	5	10	9	24	28	25
18	Mirassol	23	6	6	11	26	36	24
19	Remo	24	5	8	11	28	39	23
20	Chapecoense	23	2	8	13	24	46	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Remo	Flamengo
Internacional	1-1 D	1-1 D
Mirassol	1-2 L	5-1 W
Vitoria	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sao Paulo	1-0 W	1-1 D
Athletico Paranaense	1-2 L	1-1 D
Chapecoense	3-2 W	4-0 W
Palmeiras	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Flamengo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Remo

DWLWLWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
01/06	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
24/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
17/05	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-2	9	3	W
10/05	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	5	4	D

Flamengo

WDLWWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
16/08	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-0	5-1	3	3	W
10/08	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
30/07	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
26/07	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/07	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	2-0	4-0	3	1	W
30/05	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
24/05	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-3	8	12	L
18/05	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
11/05	Gremio Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remo vs Flamengo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Flamengo win (59%). Probabilities: Remo 17%, draw 24%, Flamengo 59%.

How many goals are expected in Remo vs Flamengo?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Remo 0.93 · Flamengo 1.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Flamengo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.