Football · Brazil Serie A · 08/10, 00:30

Prediction: Internacional vs Corinthians

Team pages: Internacional · Corinthians

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Internacional1.28
Corinthians0.93
1X2
44% 30% 26%
Internacional Draw Corinthians
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDDDLLWL
Corinthians 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDDWLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Internacional 2–2–2 Corinthians (6 last)
  • Corinthians2-1Internacional
  • Internacional2-0Corinthians
  • Corinthians0-1Internacional
  • Internacional1-1Corinthians
  • Corinthians4-2Internacional
  • Corinthians2-2Internacional
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional 1450 · Corinthians 1439
InternacionalDrawCorinthians
Our model43%31%26%
Market44%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

InternacionalCorinthians
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.11.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.25.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional 2–2–2 Corinthians

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/26
Copa do Brasil
Corinthians2-1
HT 1-0
Internacional
03/08/26
Copa do Brasil
Internacional2-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
06/04/26
Brazil Serie A
Corinthians0-1
HT 0-0
Internacional
02/10/25
Brazil Serie A
Internacional1-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
03/05/25
Brazil Serie A
Corinthians4-2
HT 1-2
Internacional
06/10/24
Brazil Serie A
Corinthians2-2
HT 1-1
Internacional

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Flamengo 281864 552360
2 Palmeiras 281693 472157
3 Athletico Paranaense 281477 433249
4 Fluminense 281396 443648
5 EC Bahia 2812106 433546
6 Cruzeiro 281369 424045
7 Atletico Mineiro 271179 363240
8 Santos 271089 414038
9 Coritiba 2810810 374338
10 Bragantino 2710611 333136
11 Sao Paulo 2710611 323036
12 Botafogo 289811 414535
13 Vitoria 289613 284233
14 Corinthians 288812 293232
15 Mirassol 288812 334232
16 Vasco da Gama 278712 344131
17 Gremio 287813 303829
18 Internacional 2861012 303628
19 Remo 285815 324723
20 Chapecoense 273915 295318

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInternacionalCorinthians
Chapecoense 2-1 W 1-2 L
Santos 2-3 L 0-1 L
EC Bahia 2-3 L 1-1 D
Remo 1-1 D 3-0 W
Flamengo 1-1 D 1-2 L
Athletico Paranaense 0-2 L 0-0 D
Cruzeiro 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional

LLDDDDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-1 34 L
12/09 Chapecoense
Brazil Serie A
1-1 2-1 28 W
06/09 Santos
Brazil Serie A
0-3 2-3 79 L
31/08 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
1-3 2-3 36 L
22/08 Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 68 D
18/08 Remo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 45 D
09/08 Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 24 D
30/07 Flamengo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 24 D
25/07 Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-2 70 L
23/07 Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A
0-1 1-2 58 L

Corinthians

WDDWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Fluminense
Brazil Serie A
0-1 1-3 118 L
13/09 Flamengo
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-2 06 L
07/09 Chapecoense
Brazil Serie A
1-1 1-2 54 L
30/08 Santos
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-1 86 L
24/08 Coritiba
Brazil Serie A
0-1 1-2 144 L
17/08 Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A
0-1 1-2 35 L
09/08 Bragantino
Brazil Serie A
0-0 2-0 24 W
31/07 Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 67 D
26/07 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
1-1 1-1 27 D
24/07 Remo
Brazil Serie A
3-0 3-0 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional vs Corinthians?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional win (44%). Probabilities: Internacional 44%, draw 30%, Corinthians 26%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Corinthians?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Internacional 1.28 · Corinthians 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional vs Corinthians?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.