Prediction: Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
Team pages: Bragantino · Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro2-1Bragantino
- Cruzeiro2-1Bragantino
- Bragantino1-0Cruzeiro
- Bragantino1-1Cruzeiro
- Bragantino1-1Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro2-1Bragantino
| Bragantino | Draw | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruzeiro (rating 1440 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Cruzeiro: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bragantino | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 7.1 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bragantino 1–2–3 Cruzeiro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bragantino |
| 22/09/25 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bragantino |
| 21/04/25 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 22/03/25 America Friendlies | Bragantino | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cruzeiro |
| 01/12/24 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 13/07/24 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bragantino |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 25 | 61 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 60 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 51 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 48 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43 | 36 | 46 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 34 | 44 |
| 8 | Santos | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 47 | 38 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 37 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 47 | 35 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 42 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 37 | 31 |
| 18 | Gremio | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 39 | 30 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 57 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bragantino | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Flamengo | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Botafogo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Sao Paulo | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Athletico Paranaense | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Corinthians | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Coritiba | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruzeiro (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bragantino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 03/10 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
Cruzeiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bragantino win (42%). Probabilities: Bragantino 42%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 30%.
How many goals are expected in Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Bragantino 1.43 · Cruzeiro 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.