Football · Brazil Serie A · 08/10, 00:30

Prediction: Remo vs Gremio

Team pages: Remo · Gremio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Remo1.33

Gremio1.04

1X2

42% 29% 28%

Remo Draw Gremio

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Remo 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Gremio 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Remo 0–1–0 Gremio (1 last)

Gremio0-0Remo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remo 1430 · Gremio 1461

	Remo	Draw	Gremio
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	43%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Remo	Gremio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.25
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.50 ★
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32 +2’	2.15	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:33 +2’	2.25	3.50	3.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 0–1–0 Gremio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Brazil Serie A	Gremio	0-0 HT 0-0	Remo

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	48
5	EC Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	45
7	Atletico Mineiro	27	11	7	9	36	32	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	38
10	Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	23
20	Chapecoense	27	3	9	15	29	53	18

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Remo	Gremio
Fluminense	1-2 L	1-1 D
Atletico Mineiro	2-2 D	0-3 L
Mirassol	1-2 L	1-2 L
Vitoria	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Remo (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Remo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Santos Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-2	5	7	L
15/09	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
06/09	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
01/09	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-3	9	4	L
22/08	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/07	Corinthians Brazil Serie A	0-3	0-3	4	2	L

Gremio

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	2	10	D
17/09	Botafogo Brazil Serie A	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
12/09	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
08/09	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
30/08	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	2-1	3-1	5	4	W
23/08	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
16/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-3	6	6	L
08/08	Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A	0-1	2-1	7	7	W
26/07	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-1	9	6	D
18/07	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	0-2	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remo vs Gremio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Remo win (42%). Probabilities: Remo 42%, draw 29%, Gremio 28%.

How many goals are expected in Remo vs Gremio?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Remo 1.33 · Gremio 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Gremio?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.