Prediction: FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn
Expected goals: 2.77 (FC Kuressaare 0.79 · FC Flora Tallinn 1.98). The model gives 14% home, 21% draw, 65% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Recent form leaves FC Kuressaare with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; FC Flora Tallinn has piled up 8-0-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Kuressaare won 0 and FC Flora Tallinn 6.
| FC Kuressaare | Draw | FC Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 23% | 64% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn (rating 1431 vs 1600).
- H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kuressaare | FC Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 2.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 3.8 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kuressaare 0–0–6 FC Flora Tallinn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Flora Tallinn | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 01/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Flora Tallinn | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 24/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Flora Tallinn |
| 27/05/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Flora Tallinn |
| 29/03/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Flora Tallinn | 5-0 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 26/10/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Flora Tallinn | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | JK Nomme Kalju | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 17 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Kuressaare | FC Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| JK Trans Narva | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Harju JK Laagri | 3-2 W | 5-0 W |
| Paide Linnameeskond | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| JK Nomme United | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| JK Nomme Kalju | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Kuressaare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
FC Flora Tallinn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Flora Tallinn win (65%). Probabilities: FC Kuressaare 14%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn 65%.
How many goals are expected in FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?
The model expects 2.77 goals (FC Kuressaare 0.79 · FC Flora Tallinn 1.98), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.