Prediction: JK Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Expected goals: 3.38 (JK Trans Narva 0.75 · FC Levadia Tallinn 2.63). The model gives 8% home, 15% draw, 77% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-2.
On recent form, JK Trans Narva is 2-1-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Levadia Tallinn 8-1-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for JK Trans Narva and 5 for FC Levadia Tallinn, with 1 draw.
| JK Trans Narva | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 16% | 77% |
| Market | 8% | 14% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn (rating 1417 vs 1614).
- H2H favours FC Levadia Tallinn: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Trans Narva | FC Levadia Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.9 | 4.4 / 8.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Trans Narva 0–1–5 FC Levadia Tallinn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 7-0 HT 4-0 | JK Trans Narva |
| 31/01/26 Europe Friendlies | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JK Trans Narva |
| 02/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Trans Narva | 0-4 HT 0-3 | FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 29/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 3-1 HT 1-0 | JK Trans Narva |
| 27/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn | 2-1 HT 1-0 | JK Trans Narva |
| 14/05/25 Estonia Cup | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JK Trans Narva |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | JK Nomme Kalju | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Trans Narva | FC Levadia Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| JK Tammeka Tartu | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Kuressaare | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| JK Nomme United | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Harju JK Laagri | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Paide Linnameeskond | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 0-2 L | 6-1 W |
| JK Nomme Kalju | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Trans Narva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Vana Hea Puur FC Estonia Cup |
4-0 | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
FC Levadia Tallinn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
4-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Levadia Tallinn win (77%). Probabilities: JK Trans Narva 8%, draw 15%, FC Levadia Tallinn 77%.
How many goals are expected in JK Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
The model expects 3.38 goals (JK Trans Narva 0.75 · FC Levadia Tallinn 2.63), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.