Prediction: Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
Expected goals: 2.91 (Paide Linnameeskond 2.02 · Parnu JK Vaprus 0.89). The model gives 63% home, 22% draw, 15% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Paide Linnameeskond with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Parnu JK Vaprus has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Paide Linnameeskond won 4 and Parnu JK Vaprus 2.
| Paide Linnameeskond | Draw | Parnu JK Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Paide Linnameeskond: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paide Linnameeskond | Parnu JK Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paide Linnameeskond 4–0–2 Parnu JK Vaprus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Estonia Cup | Paide Linnameeskond | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Parnu JK Vaprus |
| 07/03/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | Parnu JK Vaprus | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 02/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Parnu JK Vaprus |
| 30/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Parnu JK Vaprus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 18/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Parnu JK Vaprus | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 09/04/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Parnu JK Vaprus |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | JK Nomme Kalju | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paide Linnameeskond | Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme Kalju | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Harju JK Laagri | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Kuressaare | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| JK Trans Narva | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-3 L | 1-6 L |
| JK Nomme United | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paide Linnameeskond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Parnu JK Vaprus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-4 | 1-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paide Linnameeskond win (63%). Probabilities: Paide Linnameeskond 63%, draw 22%, Parnu JK Vaprus 15%.
How many goals are expected in Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Paide Linnameeskond 2.02 · Parnu JK Vaprus 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.