Prediction: JK Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare
Expected goals: 3.26 (JK Nomme United 1.94 · FC Kuressaare 1.31). The model gives 51% home, 24% draw, 25% away. Over 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, JK Nomme United sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while FC Kuressaare arrives on a 2-2-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, JK Nomme United won 1 and FC Kuressaare 3, with 2 draws.
| JK Nomme United | Draw | FC Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Kuressaare: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Nomme United | FC Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme United 1–2–3 FC Kuressaare
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 2-1 HT 2-0 | JK Nomme United |
| 25/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Kuressaare |
| 07/02/26 Europe Friendlies | FC Kuressaare | 3-3 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme United |
| 19/01/25 Europe Friendlies | FC Kuressaare | 2-1 HT 2-1 | JK Nomme United |
| 28/09/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | FC Kuressaare | 4-1 HT 0-0 | JK Nomme United |
| 01/09/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Kuressaare |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | JK Nomme Kalju | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 34 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 32 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 43 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Nomme United | FC Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme Kalju | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Harju JK Laagri | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| JK Trans Narva | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| JK Tammeka Tartu | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Paide Linnameeskond | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Nomme United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
FC Kuressaare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Nomme United win (51%). Probabilities: JK Nomme United 51%, draw 24%, FC Kuressaare 25%.
How many goals are expected in JK Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?
The model expects 3.26 goals (JK Nomme United 1.94 · FC Kuressaare 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Nomme United vs FC Kuressaare?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.