Prediction: JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju JK Laagri
Expected goals: 2.76 (JK Tammeka Tartu 1.66 · Harju JK Laagri 1.09). The model gives 50% home, 26% draw, 24% away. Under 3 goals (57%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves JK Tammeka Tartu with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Harju JK Laagri has piled up 2-1-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, JK Tammeka Tartu won 3 and Harju JK Laagri 2, with 1 draw.
| JK Tammeka Tartu | Draw | Harju JK Laagri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tammeka Tartu (rating 1533 vs 1418).
- H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Tammeka Tartu | Harju JK Laagri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tammeka Tartu 3–1–2 Harju JK Laagri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | Harju JK Laagri | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JK Tammeka Tartu |
| 22/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Harju JK Laagri | 2-2 HT 2-0 | JK Tammeka Tartu |
| 31/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Tammeka Tartu | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Harju JK Laagri |
| 13/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Tammeka Tartu | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Harju JK Laagri |
| 18/04/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Harju JK Laagri | 4-1 HT 0-1 | JK Tammeka Tartu |
| 10/11/23 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Tammeka Tartu | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Harju JK Laagri |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | JK Nomme Kalju | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Tammeka Tartu | Harju JK Laagri |
|---|---|---|
| JK Trans Narva | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| JK Nomme Kalju | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| JK Nomme United | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Kuressaare | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Paide Linnameeskond | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Tammeka Tartu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
Harju JK Laagri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju JK Laagri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tammeka Tartu win (50%). Probabilities: JK Tammeka Tartu 50%, draw 26%, Harju JK Laagri 24%.
How many goals are expected in JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju JK Laagri?
The model expects 2.76 goals (JK Tammeka Tartu 1.66 · Harju JK Laagri 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Tammeka Tartu vs Harju JK Laagri?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.