Prediction: Harju JK Laagri vs JK Trans Narva
Expected goals: 2.82 (Harju JK Laagri 1.54 · JK Trans Narva 1.28). The model gives 42% home, 27% draw, 31% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Harju JK Laagri with 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; JK Trans Narva has piled up 2-1-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Harju JK Laagri and 2 for JK Trans Narva.
| Harju JK Laagri | Draw | JK Trans Narva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Harju JK Laagri: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Harju JK Laagri | JK Trans Narva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 1.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harju JK Laagri 4–0–2 JK Trans Narva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | Harju JK Laagri | 3-0 HT 1-0 | JK Trans Narva |
| 07/03/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Trans Narva | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Harju JK Laagri |
| 25/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Harju JK Laagri | 1-0 HT 1-0 | JK Trans Narva |
| 14/09/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Trans Narva | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Harju JK Laagri |
| 27/05/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Trans Narva | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Harju JK Laagri |
| 29/03/25 Estonia Meistriliiga | Harju JK Laagri | 0-3 HT 0-2 | JK Trans Narva |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | FC Flora Tallinn | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | JK Nomme Kalju | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 16 | 34 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 32 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 34 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Nomme United | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 43 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 30 | 19 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Harju JK Laagri | JK Trans Narva |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme United | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Paide Linnameeskond | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Kuressaare | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Parnu JK Vaprus | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 0-5 L | 0-3 L |
| JK Tammeka Tartu | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harju JK Laagri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/04 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
JK Trans Narva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Vana Hea Puur FC Estonia Cup |
4-0 | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Paide Linnameeskond Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harju JK Laagri vs JK Trans Narva?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Harju JK Laagri win (42%). Probabilities: Harju JK Laagri 42%, draw 27%, JK Trans Narva 31%.
How many goals are expected in Harju JK Laagri vs JK Trans Narva?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Harju JK Laagri 1.54 · JK Trans Narva 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Harju JK Laagri vs JK Trans Narva?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.