Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 09/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Nomme United

Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn · JK Nomme United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

FC Levadia Tallinn2.92

JK Nomme United0.92

1X2

79% 14% 7%

FC Levadia Tallinn Draw JK Nomme United

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

FC Levadia Tallinn 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWWLD

JK Nomme United 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn 3–2–1 JK Nomme United (6 last)

JK Nomme United1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn1-1JK Nomme United
FC Levadia Tallinn2-4JK Nomme United
FC Levadia Tallinn1-1JK Nomme United
JK Nomme United0-1FC Levadia Tallinn
JK Nomme United0-6FC Levadia Tallinn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn 1544 · JK Nomme United 1512

	FC Levadia Tallinn	Draw	JK Nomme United
Our model	77%	14%	8%
Market	81%	13%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Levadia Tallinn: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Levadia Tallinn	JK Nomme United
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	2.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.9 / 8.7	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.98

2 (+2.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:35 +6’	1.13	7.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn 3–2–1 JK Nomme United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Nomme United	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Levadia Tallinn
04/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United
18/01/26 Europe Friendlies	FC Levadia Tallinn	2-4 HT 2-0	JK Nomme United
22/10/24 Estonia Meistriliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn	1-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United
04/08/24 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Nomme United	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Levadia Tallinn
19/06/24 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Nomme United	0-6 HT 0-3	FC Levadia Tallinn

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	20	14	5	1	50	17	47
2	FC Flora Tallinn	20	13	0	7	40	21	39
3	JK Nomme Kalju	21	11	5	5	38	17	38
4	Paide Linnameeskond	21	10	5	6	33	28	35
5	Parnu JK Vaprus	21	8	3	10	29	39	27
6	JK Tammeka Tartu	19	8	2	9	22	31	26
7	JK Nomme United	21	8	1	12	40	48	25
8	Harju JK Laagri	21	8	1	12	30	35	25
9	FC Kuressaare	21	5	3	13	19	34	18
10	JK Trans Narva	21	5	1	15	17	48	16

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Levadia Tallinn	JK Nomme United
JK Trans Narva	3-1 W	1-2 L
FC Flora Tallinn	1-2 L	2-1 W
JK Nomme Kalju	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Levadia Tallinn

WWDLWWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	1-1	17	5	D
30/07	IFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
21/07	IFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League Qualifying	2-0	2-1	5	7	W
16/07	Caernarfon Town UEFA Conference League Qualifying	3-0	5-0	9	3	W
09/07	Caernarfon Town UEFA Conference League Qualifying	3-0	5-0	6	5	W
04/07	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
28/06	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	1-2	8	5	L
20/06	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
17/06	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-1	10	6	W
13/06	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	3-1	8	6	W

JK Nomme United

LLWLWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
23/07	Raplamaa Estonia Cup	6-0	12-0	–	–	W
17/07	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
11/07	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	3-2	6	2	W
03/07	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	1-3	1-3	8	3	L
20/06	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	3-1	2	2	W
17/06	FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
13/06	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
29/05	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
20/05	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	0-2	1-2	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Nomme United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Levadia Tallinn win (79%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn 79%, draw 14%, JK Nomme United 7%.

How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Nomme United?

The model expects 3.83 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn 2.92 · JK Nomme United 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn vs JK Nomme United?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.