Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 23/08, 16:00
Prediction: Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United
Team pages: Paide Linnameeskond · JK Nomme United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Paide Linnameeskond2.23
JK Nomme United1.2
1X2
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw
JK Nomme United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Paide Linnameeskond
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
JK Nomme United
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Paide Linnameeskond
6–0
JK Nomme United
(6 last)
- JK Nomme United2-3Paide Linnameeskond
- Paide Linnameeskond3-1JK Nomme United
- JK Nomme United0-4Paide Linnameeskond
- Paide Linnameeskond7-2JK Nomme United
- JK Nomme United0-1Paide Linnameeskond
- Paide Linnameeskond3-1JK Nomme United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paide Linnameeskond 1524 · JK Nomme United 1487
| Paide Linnameeskond | Draw | JK Nomme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Paide Linnameeskond: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paide Linnameeskond | JK Nomme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paide Linnameeskond 6–0–0 JK Nomme United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 08/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 3-1 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme United |
| 03/11/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 14/09/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 7-2 HT 5-0 | JK Nomme United |
| 12/05/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | JK Nomme United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Paide Linnameeskond |
| 10/03/24 Estonia Meistriliiga | Paide Linnameeskond | 3-1 HT 2-0 | JK Nomme United |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 61 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | JK Nomme Kalju | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn | 21 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 5 | JK Tammeka Tartu | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 32 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 40 | 28 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 42 | 27 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 54 | 25 |
| 9 | FC Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
| 10 | JK Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paide Linnameeskond | JK Nomme United |
|---|---|---|
| JK Trans Narva | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Kuressaare | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Harju JK Laagri | 2-5 L | 3-1 W |
| JK Nomme Kalju | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| FC Flora Tallinn | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Paide Linnameeskond (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paide Linnameeskond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
JK Nomme United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paide Linnameeskond win (60%). Probabilities: Paide Linnameeskond 60%, draw 21%, JK Nomme United 19%.
How many goals are expected in Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Paide Linnameeskond 2.23 · JK Nomme United 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Nomme United?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.