Football · Estonia Meistriliiga · 09/09, 18:00

Prediction: JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond

Team pages: JK Tammeka Tartu · Paide Linnameeskond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

JK Tammeka Tartu1.24

Paide Linnameeskond1.98

1X2

23% 24% 53%

JK Tammeka Tartu Draw Paide Linnameeskond

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tammeka Tartu 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWLW

Paide Linnameeskond 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWDWWL

Head-to-head

JK Tammeka Tartu 1–5 Paide Linnameeskond (6 last)

Paide Linnameeskond0-1JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu1-4Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond3-0JK Tammeka Tartu
Paide Linnameeskond5-0JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu0-1Paide Linnameeskond
JK Tammeka Tartu0-2Paide Linnameeskond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tammeka Tartu 1560 · Paide Linnameeskond 1533

	JK Tammeka Tartu	Draw	Paide Linnameeskond
Our model	23%	24%	53%
Market	23%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Paide Linnameeskond: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tammeka Tartu	Paide Linnameeskond
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.9	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.80

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +2’	4.00	3.80	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tammeka Tartu 1–0–5 Paide Linnameeskond

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	Paide Linnameeskond	0-1 HT 0-0	JK Tammeka Tartu
12/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu	1-4 HT 0-3	Paide Linnameeskond
29/10/25 Estonia Cup	Paide Linnameeskond	3-0 HT 2-0	JK Tammeka Tartu
18/10/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	Paide Linnameeskond	5-0 HT 2-0	JK Tammeka Tartu
23/08/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu	0-1 HT 0-1	Paide Linnameeskond
28/06/25 Estonia Meistriliiga	JK Tammeka Tartu	0-2 HT 0-1	Paide Linnameeskond

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	25	19	5	1	66	20	62
2	FC Flora Tallinn	26	16	0	10	51	33	48
3	JK Nomme Kalju	26	13	5	8	46	24	44
4	Paide Linnameeskond	25	12	6	7	40	33	42
5	JK Tammeka Tartu	25	13	2	10	33	35	41
6	Harju JK Laagri	26	10	1	15	36	43	31
7	Parnu JK Vaprus	25	9	4	12	34	46	31
8	FC Kuressaare	26	8	4	14	30	42	28
9	JK Nomme United	26	8	1	17	42	61	25
10	JK Trans Narva	26	5	2	19	19	60	17

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tammeka Tartu	Paide Linnameeskond
Harju JK Laagri	2-0 W	2-5 L
FC Flora Tallinn	2-3 L	2-1 W
JK Trans Narva	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Kuressaare	1-0 W	1-0 W
JK Nomme United	1-0 W	4-1 W
JK Nomme Kalju	1-5 L	1-1 D
Parnu JK Vaprus	1-5 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Paide Linnameeskond (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Tammeka Tartu

WWLLWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
02/09	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-2	2-3	4	6	L
30/08	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
26/08	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	3-1	2	9	W
22/08	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/08	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
02/08	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-5	1-5	6	2	L
11/07	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	1-3	1-5	8	6	L
05/07	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
21/06	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	9	6	W

Paide Linnameeskond

WWDWLWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Levadia Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	2-1	8	4	W
23/08	JK Nomme United Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	4-1	8	2	W
16/08	JK Trans Narva Estonia Meistriliiga	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/08	FC Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/07	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	1-5	2-5	7	9	L
04/07	Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga	2-1	3-1	6	4	W
28/06	JK Nomme Kalju Estonia Meistriliiga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
21/06	FC Flora Tallinn Estonia Meistriliiga	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
17/06	Harju JK Laagri Estonia Meistriliiga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Paide Linnameeskond win (53%). Probabilities: JK Tammeka Tartu 23%, draw 24%, Paide Linnameeskond 53%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

The model expects 3.22 goals (JK Tammeka Tartu 1.24 · Paide Linnameeskond 1.98), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.