Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 15/08, 22:00

Prediction: Bragantino (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)

Team pages: Bragantino (W) · EC Vitoria (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Bragantino (W)2.48
EC Vitoria (W)0.72
1X2
76% 16% 9%
Bragantino (W) Draw EC Vitoria (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bragantino (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWDLLD
EC Vitoria (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLDLWLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bragantino (W) 1539 · EC Vitoria (W) 1460
Bragantino (W)DrawEC Vitoria (W)
Our model75%17%8%
Market76%15%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bragantino (W) (rating 1539 vs 1460).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bragantino (W)EC Vitoria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.81.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.31.3 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.15.1 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 151212 401437
2 Sao Paulo (W) 151122 251035
3 Palmeiras (W) 15951 291132
4 Bahia (W) 15834 271827
5 Ferroviaria (W) 15762 201227
6 Gremio (W) 15735 221424
7 Internacional (W) 15735 171424
8 Cruzeiro (W) 15663 281824
9 Flamengo (W) 15663 221724
10 Fluminense RJ (W) 15645 181722
11 Bragantino (W) 15627 222320
12 Santos (W) 15555 181920
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 15348 142113
14 Mixto EC (W) 15267 92412
15 EC Juventude (W) 15249 71710
16 America MG (W) 151410 7287
17 EC Vitoria (W) 151410 12377
18 Botafogo (W) 151212 9325

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBragantino (W)EC Vitoria (W)
Ferroviaria (W) 0-0 D 0-2 L
Sao Paulo (W) 0-1 L 1-3 L
Atletico Mineiro (W) 2-0 W 1-3 L
Botafogo (W) 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bragantino (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bragantino (W)

WLWDWWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 0-0 16 D
09/08 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
01/08 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-2 64 L
29/07 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 1-1 23 D
25/07 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 2-0 16 W
23/07 Botafogo (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 2-0 73 W
17/07 Mirassol (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-1 62 D
27/05 Sao Jose SP (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 4-1 71 W
24/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 1-2 56 L
22/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-0 52 W

EC Vitoria (W)

DLWLDLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-2 2-2 56 D
02/08 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 1-3 18 L
26/07 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-4 13 L
17/07 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 43 W
28/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-1 1-3 27 L
24/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 2-2 28 D
19/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-2 32 L
14/05 CE Juventude Estancia (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
2-1 3-2 14 W
11/05 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-3 35 L
02/05 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 57 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bragantino (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bragantino (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Bragantino (W) 76%, draw 16%, EC Vitoria (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Bragantino (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Bragantino (W) 2.48 · EC Vitoria (W) 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bragantino (W) vs EC Vitoria (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.