Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 11/08, 02:00

Prediction: America MG (W) vs Flamengo (W)

Team pages: America MG (W) · Flamengo (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
America MG (W)0.41
Flamengo (W)2.15
1X2
6% 17% 78%
America MG (W) Draw Flamengo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
America MG (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDDLLWLLL
Flamengo (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWLWDL
Head-to-head
America MG (W) 0–2 Flamengo (W) (2 last)
  • Flamengo (W)3-0America MG (W)
  • America MG (W)1-2Flamengo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · America MG (W) 1428 · Flamengo (W) 1521
America MG (W)DrawFlamengo (W)
Our model5%18%77%
Market6%16%78%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flamengo (W) (rating 1428 vs 1521).
  • H2H favours Flamengo (W): 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

America MG (W)Flamengo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.61.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.32.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.13.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · America MG (W) 002 Flamengo (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Flamengo (W)3-0
HT 0-0
America MG (W)
07/05/24
Brazil Serie A1 Women
America MG (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Flamengo (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 141112 361334
2 Sao Paulo (W) 141022 241032
3 Palmeiras (W) 15951 291132
4 Bahia (W) 15834 271827
5 Ferroviaria (W) 15762 201227
6 Cruzeiro (W) 14662 281624
7 Internacional (W) 14725 151223
8 Flamengo (W) 14653 211623
9 Gremio (W) 14635 201421
10 Bragantino (W) 14626 222220
11 Santos (W) 14554 171520
12 Fluminense RJ (W) 14545 161619
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 15348 142113
14 EC Juventude (W) 14248 71610
15 Mixto EC (W) 14167 8249
16 America MG (W) 141310 6276
17 EC Vitoria (W) 141310 10356
18 Botafogo (W) 141211 8305

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAmerica MG (W)Flamengo (W)
Gremio (W) 0-1 L 2-2 D
Sao Paulo (W) 0-0 D 1-2 L
Ferroviaria (W) 1-4 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Flamengo (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

America MG (W)

LLDDLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 13 L
25/07 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 13 L
28/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-1 23 L
24/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-0 15 W
16/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-2 25 L
09/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-4 20 L
02/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 77 D
27/04 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 22 D
21/04 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-3 1-4 20 L
01/04 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-3 38 L

Flamengo (W)

LDWWWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 97 L
25/07 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 2-2 65 D
21/07 3B Sport AM (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 1-0 50 W
13/07 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
0-3 1-3 43 L
09/07 Club Atletico Penarol (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
4-0 4-1 41 W
28/05 Sao Joao PI (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
2-0 W
23/05 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 61 W
16/05 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-0 136 W
12/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 410 D
05/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-2 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in America MG (W) vs Flamengo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Flamengo (W) win (78%). Probabilities: America MG (W) 6%, draw 17%, Flamengo (W) 78%.

How many goals are expected in America MG (W) vs Flamengo (W)?

The model expects 2.56 goals (America MG (W) 0.41 · Flamengo (W) 2.15), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in America MG (W) vs Flamengo (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.