Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 03/08, 23:30

Prediction: Flamengo (W) vs Corinthians (W)

Team pages: Flamengo (W) · Corinthians (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Flamengo (W)1.09

Corinthians (W)1.77

1X2

22% 26% 52%

Flamengo (W) Draw Corinthians (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Flamengo (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWLWD

Corinthians (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWWLWL

Head-to-head

Flamengo (W) 0–6 Corinthians (W) (6 last)

Corinthians (W)1-0Flamengo (W)
Flamengo (W)2-3Corinthians (W)
Corinthians (W)4-0Flamengo (W)
Corinthians (W)4-1Flamengo (W)
Flamengo (W)1-2Corinthians (W)
Flamengo (W)0-3Corinthians (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Flamengo (W) 1545 · Corinthians (W) 1572

	Flamengo (W)	Draw	Corinthians (W)
Our model	22%	26%	52%
Market	22%	26%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Corinthians (W): 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Flamengo (W)	Corinthians (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.40

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:45 +1’	4.10	3.40	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Flamengo (W) 0–0–6 Corinthians (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Corinthians (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Flamengo (W)
26/03/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Flamengo (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Corinthians (W)
06/06/23 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Corinthians (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Flamengo (W)
12/02/23 Brazil Supercopa Women	Corinthians (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Flamengo (W)
11/06/22 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Flamengo (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Corinthians (W)
27/05/21 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Flamengo (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Corinthians (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Corinthians (W)	13	10	1	2	35	13	31
2	Sao Paulo (W)	13	9	2	2	21	9	29
3	Palmeiras (W)	13	8	4	1	27	10	28
4	Bahia (W)	13	7	3	3	24	17	24
5	Internacional (W)	13	7	2	4	14	10	23
6	Ferroviaria (W)	13	6	5	2	19	12	23
7	Flamengo (W)	13	6	5	2	21	15	23
8	Cruzeiro (W)	13	5	6	2	24	16	21
9	Bragantino (W)	13	6	2	5	21	20	20
10	Gremio (W)	13	5	3	5	19	14	18
11	Santos (W)	13	4	5	4	13	15	17
12	Fluminense RJ (W)	13	4	4	5	14	15	16
13	Atletico Mineiro (W)	13	3	3	7	14	18	12
14	EC Juventude (W)	13	2	4	7	7	12	10
15	Mixto EC (W)	13	1	5	7	8	24	8
16	America MG (W)	13	1	3	9	6	26	6
17	EC Vitoria (W)	13	1	3	9	9	32	6
18	Botafogo (W)	13	1	2	10	8	26	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Flamengo (W)	Corinthians (W)
Palmeiras (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
Ferroviaria (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Sao Paulo (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
EC Vitoria (W)	3-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Flamengo (W)

WLDWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
21/07	3B Sport AM (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	1-0	5	0	W
13/07	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Ladies Cup	0-3	1-3	4	3	L
09/07	Club Atletico Penarol (W) Brazil Ladies Cup	4-0	4-1	4	1	W
28/05	Sao Joao PI (W) Copa do Brazil Women	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Internacional (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
16/05	Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-0	1-0	13	6	W
12/05	Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
05/05	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
25/04	EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-0	3-1	6	5	W

Corinthians (W)

WWLDWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
26/07	EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
21/07	Ferroviaria (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
18/07	Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
30/05	Palmeiras (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
26/05	Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	3-0	4-1	8	7	W
22/05	Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-1	2-2	7	1	D
19/05	Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
14/05	Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women	3-0	6-0	5	1	W
12/05	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	2-0	2-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flamengo (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Corinthians (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Flamengo (W) 22%, draw 26%, Corinthians (W) 52%.

How many goals are expected in Flamengo (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Flamengo (W) 1.09 · Corinthians (W) 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Flamengo (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.