Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: Palmeiras (W) vs Internacional (W)

Team pages: Palmeiras (W) · Internacional (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Palmeiras (W)1.65

Internacional (W)0.44

1X2

68% 22% 10%

Palmeiras (W) Draw Internacional (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Palmeiras (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWWWDW

Internacional (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLDWW

Head-to-head

Palmeiras (W) 2–1–3 Internacional (W) (6 last)

Internacional (W)2-2Palmeiras (W)
Palmeiras (W)1-2Internacional (W)
Internacional (W)1-2Palmeiras (W)
Palmeiras (W)0-4Internacional (W)
Palmeiras (W)0-1Internacional (W)
Palmeiras (W)4-1Internacional (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palmeiras (W) 1582 · Internacional (W) 1533

	Palmeiras (W)	Draw	Internacional (W)
Our model	66%	25%	9%
Market	69%	20%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (W) (rating 1582 vs 1533).
H2H favours Internacional (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palmeiras (W)	Internacional (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.4	2.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:35 +1’	1.30	4.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmeiras (W) 2–1–3 Internacional (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Internacional (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Palmeiras (W)
18/08/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Palmeiras (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Internacional (W)
06/05/23 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Internacional (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Palmeiras (W)
13/11/22 Women’s Friendly	Palmeiras (W)	0-4 HT 0-0	Internacional (W)
30/04/22 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Palmeiras (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Internacional (W)
05/09/21 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Palmeiras (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Internacional (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Corinthians (W)	13	10	1	2	35	13	31
2	Sao Paulo (W)	13	9	2	2	21	9	29
3	Palmeiras (W)	13	8	4	1	27	10	28
4	Bahia (W)	13	7	3	3	24	17	24
5	Internacional (W)	13	7	2	4	14	10	23
6	Ferroviaria (W)	13	6	5	2	19	12	23
7	Flamengo (W)	13	6	5	2	21	15	23
8	Cruzeiro (W)	13	5	6	2	24	16	21
9	Bragantino (W)	13	6	2	5	21	20	20
10	Gremio (W)	13	5	3	5	19	14	18
11	Santos (W)	13	4	5	4	13	15	17
12	Fluminense RJ (W)	13	4	4	5	14	15	16
13	Atletico Mineiro (W)	13	3	3	7	14	18	12
14	EC Juventude (W)	13	2	4	7	7	12	10
15	Mixto EC (W)	13	1	5	7	8	24	8
16	America MG (W)	13	1	3	9	6	26	6
17	EC Vitoria (W)	13	1	3	9	9	32	6
18	Botafogo (W)	13	1	2	10	8	26	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palmeiras (W)	Internacional (W)
Mixto EC (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Flamengo (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
Botafogo (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Santos (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Palmeiras (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Palmeiras (W)

DWLWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Corinthians (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/07	Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
18/07	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
13/07	Flamengo (W) Brazil Ladies Cup	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
10/07	Paraguay (W) Brazil Ladies Cup	2-0	3-0	9	0	W
30/05	Corinthians (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
24/05	Bragantino (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
21/05	Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
19/05	Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
15/05	Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Internacional (W)

DWWWWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
20/07	Coritiba (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/05	Gremio (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
23/05	Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
16/05	Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-3	0-3	6	7	L
11/05	Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
01/05	Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
26/04	EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
22/04	Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
03/04	Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palmeiras (W) vs Internacional (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Palmeiras (W) 68%, draw 22%, Internacional (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Palmeiras (W) vs Internacional (W)?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Palmeiras (W) 1.65 · Internacional (W) 0.44), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Palmeiras (W) vs Internacional (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.