Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: Santos (W) vs EC Juventude (W)

Team pages: Santos (W) · EC Juventude (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Santos (W)1.46
EC Juventude (W)0.53
1X2
60% 26% 14%
Santos (W) Draw EC Juventude (W)
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Santos (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLDLDWWD
EC Juventude (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLDWLDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santos (W) 1499 · EC Juventude (W) 1448
Santos (W)DrawEC Juventude (W)
Our model59%29%12%
Market62%24%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos (W) (rating 1499 vs 1448).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santos (W)EC Juventude (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 10.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.31.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.8 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 131012 351331
2 Sao Paulo (W) 13922 21929
3 Palmeiras (W) 13841 271028
4 Bahia (W) 13733 241724
5 Internacional (W) 13724 141023
6 Ferroviaria (W) 13652 191223
7 Flamengo (W) 13652 211523
8 Cruzeiro (W) 13562 241621
9 Bragantino (W) 13625 212020
10 Gremio (W) 13535 191418
11 Santos (W) 13454 131517
12 Fluminense RJ (W) 13445 141516
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 13337 141812
14 EC Juventude (W) 13247 71210
15 Mixto EC (W) 13157 8248
16 America MG (W) 13139 6266
17 EC Vitoria (W) 13139 9326
18 Botafogo (W) 131210 8265

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantos (W)EC Juventude (W)
Sao Paulo (W) 0-3 L 0-1 L
Corinthians (W) 2-2 D 0-1 L
Fluminense RJ (W) 2-0 W 0-1 L
Ferroviaria (W) 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santos (W)

LWDLDLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 1-1 53 D
25/07 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-0 73 W
18/07 Taubate (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 1-0 76 W
28/05 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-1 46 D
25/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-3 02 L
22/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 2-2 41 D
17/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 87 L
15/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 0-0 26 D
09/05 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 2-0 03 W
07/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 1-2 64 L

EC Juventude (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
27/05 Botafogo (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-3 105 L
24/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 34 D
19/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 35 L
11/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 55 W
01/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
26/04 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 33 L
21/04 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 01 L
01/04 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 15 L
27/03 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-3 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santos (W) vs EC Juventude (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santos (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Santos (W) 60%, draw 26%, EC Juventude (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Santos (W) vs EC Juventude (W)?

The model expects 2 goals (Santos (W) 1.46 · EC Juventude (W) 0.53), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santos (W) vs EC Juventude (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.