Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 25/07, 00:00

Prediction: America MG (W) vs Santos (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
America MG (W)0.65
Santos (W)1.55
1X2
15% 26% 59%
America MG (W) Draw Santos (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
America MG (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLDDLLWL
Santos (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWDLDLDW
Head-to-head
America MG (W) 2–0 Santos (W) (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · America MG (W) 1448 · Santos (W) 1476
America MG (W)DrawSantos (W)
Our model14%28%58%
Market16%24%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours America MG (W): 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

America MG (W)Santos (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.90.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.20.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.41.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.14.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · America MG (W) 200 Santos (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/25
Copa do Brazil Women
America MG (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Santos (W)
24/03/24
Brazil Serie A1 Women
America MG (W)2-1
HT 0-0
Santos (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 12912 311328
2 Palmeiras (W) 12831 271027
3 Sao Paulo (W) 12822 19826
4 Ferroviaria (W) 12642 191222
5 Flamengo (W) 12642 191322
6 Bahia (W) 12633 221621
7 Cruzeiro (W) 12561 231421
8 Internacional (W) 12624 131020
9 Gremio (W) 12525 171217
10 Bragantino (W) 12525 192017
11 Fluminense RJ (W) 12444 141416
12 Santos (W) 12354 121514
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 12336 141612
14 EC Juventude (W) 12237 7129
15 Mixto EC (W) 12147 8247
16 EC Vitoria (W) 12138 9286
17 America MG (W) 12138 6256
18 Botafogo (W) 12129 7245

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAmerica MG (W)Santos (W)
Sao Paulo (W) 0-0 D 0-3 L
Ferroviaria (W) 1-4 L 1-2 L
Corinthians (W) 0-4 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Santos (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

America MG (W)

LDLLDDLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/05 Vasco da Gama (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-1 23 L
24/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-0 15 W
16/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-2 25 L
09/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-4 20 L
02/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 77 D
27/04 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 22 D
21/04 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-3 1-4 20 L
01/04 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-3 38 L
28/03 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 134 D
24/03 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 0-4 03 L

Santos (W)

DLLWDLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Taubate (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 1-0 76 W
28/05 Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-1 46 D
25/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-2 0-3 02 L
22/05 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 2-2 41 D
17/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 87 L
15/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 0-0 26 D
09/05 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 2-0 03 W
07/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 1-2 64 L
01/05 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-3 0-3 94 L
28/04 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 19 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in America MG (W) vs Santos (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Santos (W) win (59%). Probabilities: America MG (W) 15%, draw 26%, Santos (W) 59%.

How many goals are expected in America MG (W) vs Santos (W)?

The model expects 2.21 goals (America MG (W) 0.65 · Santos (W) 1.55), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in America MG (W) vs Santos (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.