Prediction: CT United vs Carolina Core FC
Expected goals: 2.93 (CT United 1.82 · Carolina Core FC 1.1). The model gives 54% home, 24% draw, 22% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves CT United with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Carolina Core FC has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span.
| CT United | Draw | Carolina Core FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CT United | Carolina Core FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Chattanooga FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 28 |
| 7 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 21 |
| 12 | CT United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 27 | 12 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CT United | Carolina Core FC |
|---|---|---|
| New York City FC II | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Huntsville City | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| New York Red Bulls II | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Carolina Core FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CT United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 11 | L |
Carolina Core FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CT United vs Carolina Core FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CT United win (54%). Probabilities: CT United 54%, draw 24%, Carolina Core FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in CT United vs Carolina Core FC?
The model expects 2.93 goals (CT United 1.82 · Carolina Core FC 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CT United vs Carolina Core FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.