Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 13/07, 00:00
Prediction: FC Cincinnati II vs Orlando City II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
FC Cincinnati II1.53
Orlando City II1.75
1X2
FC Cincinnati II
Draw
Orlando City II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cincinnati II
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Orlando City II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Cincinnati II
2–1–3
Orlando City II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Cincinnati II 1464 · Orlando City II 1523
| FC Cincinnati II | Draw | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando City II (rating 1464 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Orlando City II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cincinnati II | Orlando City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cincinnati II 2–1–3 Orlando City II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 1-4 HT 1-3 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Orlando City II |
| 24/09/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 03/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 3-5 HT 1-1 | Orlando City II |
| 12/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 4-0 HT 4-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 30/08/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 31 |
| 6 | Orlando City II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 31 | 30 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union II | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | CT United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Cincinnati II | Orlando City II |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF II | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Columbus Crew II | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| New England Revolution II | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Chattanooga FC | 1-3 L | 5-2 W |
| Huntsville City | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Orlando City II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cincinnati II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 19/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Orlando City II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/05 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Cincinnati II vs Orlando City II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Orlando City II win (43%). Probabilities: FC Cincinnati II 33%, draw 24%, Orlando City II 43%.
How many goals are expected in FC Cincinnati II vs Orlando City II?
The model expects 3.28 goals (FC Cincinnati II 1.53 · Orlando City II 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati II vs Orlando City II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.