Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 12/07, 23:00
Prediction: Carolina Core FC vs Chattanooga FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Carolina Core FC1.17
Chattanooga FC1.52
1X2
Carolina Core FC
Draw
Chattanooga FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Core FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Chattanooga FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carolina Core FC
2–1–3
Chattanooga FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Core FC 1462 · Chattanooga FC 1534
| Carolina Core FC | Draw | Chattanooga FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 24% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1462 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Chattanooga FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carolina Core FC | Chattanooga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Core FC 2–1–3 Chattanooga FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Carolina Core FC |
| 21/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Carolina Core FC |
| 17/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 13/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Chattanooga FC |
| 18/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 23/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Carolina Core FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Chattanooga FC | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 31 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 31 |
| 6 | Orlando City II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 31 | 30 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union II | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | CT United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 22 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 35 | 21 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carolina Core FC | Chattanooga FC |
|---|---|---|
| Huntsville City | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Inter Miami CF II | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| New York City FC II | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Orlando City II | 2-3 L | 2-5 L |
| New York Red Bulls II | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Chicago Fire II | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Core FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Chattanooga FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Core FC vs Chattanooga FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chattanooga FC win (45%). Probabilities: Carolina Core FC 29%, draw 26%, Chattanooga FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Carolina Core FC vs Chattanooga FC?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Carolina Core FC 1.17 · Chattanooga FC 1.52), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Carolina Core FC vs Chattanooga FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.