Prediction: Atlanta United II vs CT United
Team pages: Atlanta United II · CT United
| Atlanta United II | Draw | CT United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CT United (rating 1507 vs 1557).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlanta United II | CT United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 2.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 36 | 54 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 37 | 47 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 45 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 45 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 44 |
| 6 | CT United | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 49 | 43 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 40 | 43 |
| 8 | Orlando City II | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 50 | 51 | 41 |
| 9 | New York City FC II | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 41 | 39 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 50 | 39 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 39 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire II | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 39 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 43 | 38 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 50 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 59 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 63 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlanta United II | CT United |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando City II | 5-1 W | 4-2 W |
| New York Red Bulls II | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Carolina Core FC | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Toronto FC II | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlanta United II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlanta United II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
CT United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 20/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlanta United II vs CT United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlanta United II win (43%). Probabilities: Atlanta United II 43%, draw 24%, CT United 32%.
How many goals are expected in Atlanta United II vs CT United?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Atlanta United II 2.01 · CT United 1.74), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United II vs CT United?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.