Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 14/09, 02:30
Prediction: Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II
Team pages: Austin FC II · Colorado Rapids II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Austin FC II1.93
Colorado Rapids II1.03
1X2
Austin FC II
Draw
Colorado Rapids II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Austin FC II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Colorado Rapids II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austin FC II
4–2
Colorado Rapids II
(6 last)
- Austin FC II3-2Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II0-2Austin FC II
- Colorado Rapids II4-1Austin FC II
- Colorado Rapids II1-0Austin FC II
- Austin FC II4-2Colorado Rapids II
- Austin FC II4-3Colorado Rapids II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austin FC II 1571 · Colorado Rapids II 1447
| Austin FC II | Draw | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1571 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Austin FC II: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC II 4–0–2 Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 14/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 16/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Austin FC II |
| 09/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 08/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 4-2 HT 4-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 24/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 39 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 38 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 10 | The Town | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 50 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Austin FC II | Colorado Rapids II |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| North Texas SC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC II win (58%). Probabilities: Austin FC II 58%, draw 23%, Colorado Rapids II 19%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Austin FC II 1.93 · Colorado Rapids II 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.