Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 14/09, 02:30
Prediction: North Texas SC vs Houston Dynamo II
Team pages: North Texas SC · Houston Dynamo II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
North Texas SC1.52
Houston Dynamo II1.59
1X2
North Texas SC
Draw
Houston Dynamo II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
North Texas SC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Houston Dynamo II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
North Texas SC
2–4
Houston Dynamo II
(6 last)
- North Texas SC2-3Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II2-0North Texas SC
- Houston Dynamo II3-0North Texas SC
- North Texas SC2-1Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II5-1North Texas SC
- North Texas SC4-1Houston Dynamo II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · North Texas SC 1472 · Houston Dynamo II 1488
| North Texas SC | Draw | Houston Dynamo II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Houston Dynamo II: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Texas SC | Houston Dynamo II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Texas SC 2–0–4 Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 21/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | North Texas SC |
| 14/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 3-0 HT 2-0 | North Texas SC |
| 19/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 24/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 5-1 HT 1-1 | North Texas SC |
| 18/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 39 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 38 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 10 | The Town | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 50 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Texas SC | Houston Dynamo II |
|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs SLC | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| St Louis City II | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Austin FC II | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Ventura County FC | 1-6 L | 0-2 L |
| The Town | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: North Texas SC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Texas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 20/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Texas SC vs Houston Dynamo II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Houston Dynamo II win (39%). Probabilities: North Texas SC 36%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo II 39%.
How many goals are expected in North Texas SC vs Houston Dynamo II?
The model expects 3.11 goals (North Texas SC 1.52 · Houston Dynamo II 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in North Texas SC vs Houston Dynamo II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.