Prediction: CT United vs Inter Miami CF II
Team pages: CT United · Inter Miami CF II
| CT United | Draw | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| Market | 71% | 16% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CT United (rating 1529 vs 1438).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CT United | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 39 | 53 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 46 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 42 | 46 |
| 5 | Atlanta United II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 58 | 44 | 45 |
| 6 | New York City FC II | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 43 | 45 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 41 | 45 |
| 8 | Orlando City II | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 52 | 44 |
| 9 | CT United | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 50 | 43 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union II | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 42 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 41 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 53 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 47 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 52 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 60 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 28 | 67 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CT United | Inter Miami CF II |
|---|---|---|
| New York City FC II | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Atlanta United II | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Crown Legacy | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| New England Revolution II | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Orlando City II | 4-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CT United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 20/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/09 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CT United vs Inter Miami CF II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CT United win (71%). Probabilities: CT United 71%, draw 16%, Inter Miami CF II 13%.
How many goals are expected in CT United vs Inter Miami CF II?
The model expects 4.07 goals (CT United 2.86 · Inter Miami CF II 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CT United vs Inter Miami CF II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

