Prediction: CT United vs Inter Miami CF II

Team pages: CT United · Inter Miami CF II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.07Total
CT United2.86
Inter Miami CF II1.21
1X2
71% 16% 13%
CT United Draw Inter Miami CF II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
CT United 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWWLLL
Inter Miami CF II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLWLDWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CT United 1529 · Inter Miami CF II 1438
CT UnitedDrawInter Miami CF II
Our model71%16%13%
Market71%16%13%
Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CT United (rating 1529 vs 1438).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CT UnitedInter Miami CF II
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.91.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.71 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.25.2 / 0.1

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Crown Legacy 271485 653855
2 Chattanooga FC 271476 553953
3 New York Red Bulls II 271359 574646
4 Columbus Crew II 271269 484246
5 Atlanta United II 271359 584445
6 New York City FC II 2713410 494345
7 New England Revolution II 271188 444145
8 Orlando City II 271179 535244
9 CT United 2713212 525043
10 Philadelphia Union II 2712411 363942
11 Huntsville City 2711610 474641
12 Toronto FC II 2711412 475339
13 Chicago Fire II 2710611 504739
14 Carolina Core FC 2751012 395230
15 FC Cincinnati II 275319 316020
16 Inter Miami CF II 273519 286715

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCT UnitedInter Miami CF II
New York City FC II 0-1 L 4-2 W
Atlanta United II 1-4 L 1-1 D
Crown Legacy 2-0 W 0-2 L
New England Revolution II 1-2 L 4-2 W
Orlando City II 4-2 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CT United

WWWLWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 New York City FC II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 0-1 32 L
08/09 Atlanta United II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 1-4 45 L
30/08 New York Red Bulls II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-0 2-4 85 L
23/08 Philadelphia Union II
USA MLS Next Pro League
4-0 4-2 312 W
20/08 Crown Legacy
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-0 2-0 37 W
17/08 FC Cincinnati II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-2 3-2 36 W
09/08 New England Revolution II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 1-2 45 L
02/08 Orlando City II
USA MLS Next Pro League
2-1 4-2 22 W
27/07 Columbus Crew II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 2-1 42 W
20/07 New York Red Bulls II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 2-1 26 W

Inter Miami CF II

WLLLWLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Huntsville City
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-3 1-4 62 L
05/09 Orlando City II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-3 1-4 87 L
02/09 New York City FC II
USA MLS Next Pro League
3-1 4-2 36 W
29/08 Atlanta United II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-0 1-1 37 D
23/08 Chicago Fire II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-0 1-3 23 L
20/08 New England Revolution II
USA MLS Next Pro League
3-1 4-2 13 W
17/08 Huntsville City
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 0-2 49 L
08/08 Crown Legacy
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 0-2 83 L
01/08 Chattanooga FC
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 0-1 25 L
25/07 Toronto FC II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 2-1 18 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CT United vs Inter Miami CF II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CT United win (71%). Probabilities: CT United 71%, draw 16%, Inter Miami CF II 13%.

How many goals are expected in CT United vs Inter Miami CF II?

The model expects 4.07 goals (CT United 2.86 · Inter Miami CF II 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CT United vs Inter Miami CF II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.