Prediction: Brunswick Juventus vs Brunswick City

Expected goals: 2.87 (Brunswick Juventus 1.73 · Brunswick City 1.14). The model gives 51% home, 24% draw, 25% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Brunswick Juventus with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Brunswick City has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Brunswick Juventus and 1 for Brunswick City, with 1 draw.

51%1
51% 24% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brunswick Juventus 1492 · Brunswick City 1508
Brunswick JuventusDrawBrunswick City
Our model50%26%24%
Market52%22%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.87Brunswick Juventus 1.73 · Brunswick City 1.14
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Brunswick Juventus: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Brunswick JuventusBrunswick City
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 5.42.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.23.4 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brunswick Juventus 411 Brunswick City

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/06/23
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Brunswick Juventus1-0
HT 1-0
Brunswick City
25/03/23
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Brunswick City0-2
HT 0-0
Brunswick Juventus
29/07/22
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Brunswick Juventus2-2
HT 0-1
Brunswick City
14/05/22
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Brunswick City0-1
HT 0-1
Brunswick Juventus
20/03/21
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Brunswick City2-1
HT 0-1
Brunswick Juventus
06/07/19
Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Brunswick City1-2
HT 1-1
Brunswick Juventus

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Northcote City 181233 321639
2 Melbourne Knights 181125 311535
3 Brunswick Juventus 181107 282433
4 Melbourne Victory NPL 18936 432930
5 Bulleen Lions 18855 312329
6 North Geelong 17908 313327
7 FC Melbourne Srbija 17827 211926
8 Eltham Redbacks 18747 393325
9 Manningham United Blues 18819 313625
10 Brunswick City 18729 333423
11 Langwarrin 18648 323622
12 Western United FC NPL 187110 354322
13 North Sunshine Eagles 184212 213414
14 Port Melbourne SC 182313 9429

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrunswick JuventusBrunswick City
Melbourne Victory NPL 0-4 L 1-4 L
Eltham Redbacks 2-1 W 3-1 W
Port Melbourne SC 2-0 W 3-1 W
Manningham United Blues 0-1 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brunswick City (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brunswick Juventus

DLWDWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Heidelberg Utd
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-2 0-2 23 L
19/06 Bulleen Lions
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-1 1-5 94 L
16/06 Bulleen Lions
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-0 1-0 73 W
12/06 Melbourne Knights
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-0 1-0 27 W
08/06 Melbourne Victory NPL
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-2 0-4 97 L
30/05 Eltham Redbacks
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-1 2-1 43 W
27/05 Oakleigh Cannons
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-1 1-1 34 D
23/05 Port Melbourne SC
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-0 2-0 53 W
16/05 Manningham United Blues
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-0 0-1 62 L
12/05 Box Hill United
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-0 0-0 79 D

Brunswick City

WLDLLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 Melbourne Victory NPL
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-1 1-4 65 L
12/06 Eltham Redbacks
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-1 3-1 47 W
06/06 Port Melbourne SC
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
3-1 3-1 78 W
29/05 Manningham United Blues
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-0 3-1 60 W
22/05 Northcote City
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-0 0-1 32 L
16/05 FC Melbourne Srbija
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
1-2 1-2 92 L
12/05 Avondale
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-3 0-4 33 L
08/05 North Sunshine Eagles
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-1 1-1 58 D
02/05 North Geelong
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-1 0-1 84 L
24/04 Langwarrin
Australia Victoria Premier League 1
0-0 3-1 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brunswick Juventus vs Brunswick City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brunswick Juventus win (51%). Probabilities: Brunswick Juventus 51%, draw 24%, Brunswick City 25%.

How many goals are expected in Brunswick Juventus vs Brunswick City?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Brunswick Juventus 1.73 · Brunswick City 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brunswick Juventus vs Brunswick City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.