Prediction: Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory NPL
Expected goals: 4.35 (Langwarrin 1.82 · Melbourne Victory NPL 2.53). The model gives 27% home, 20% draw, 53% away. Over 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves Langwarrin with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Melbourne Victory NPL has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Langwarrin won 0 and Melbourne Victory NPL 2, with 1 draw.
| Langwarrin | Draw | Melbourne Victory NPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 20% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Melbourne Victory NPL: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Langwarrin | Melbourne Victory NPL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.1 | 2.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 2.7 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Langwarrin 0–1–2 Melbourne Victory NPL
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Langwarrin |
| 21/07/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Langwarrin |
| 20/04/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Langwarrin | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Melbourne Victory NPL |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 36 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 7 | Eltham Redbacks | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 28 |
| 8 | North Geelong | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 34 | 28 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 26 |
| 10 | Western United FC NPL | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 45 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 23 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 15 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Langwarrin | Melbourne Victory NPL |
|---|---|---|
| Eltham Redbacks | 1-6 L | 3-3 D |
| Port Melbourne SC | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Manningham United Blues | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Northcote City | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Melbourne Srbija | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Melbourne Knights | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Western United FC NPL | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Brunswick City | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne Victory NPL (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Langwarrin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Melbourne Victory NPL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 22/06 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 01/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory NPL?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne Victory NPL win (53%). Probabilities: Langwarrin 27%, draw 20%, Melbourne Victory NPL 53%.
How many goals are expected in Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory NPL?
The model expects 4.35 goals (Langwarrin 1.82 · Melbourne Victory NPL 2.53), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory NPL?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.