Prediction: Port Melbourne SC vs North Sunshine Eagles
Expected goals: 2.88 (Port Melbourne SC 0.93 · North Sunshine Eagles 1.96). The model gives 17% home, 21% draw, 61% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Port Melbourne SC sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while North Sunshine Eagles arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Port Melbourne SC and 1 for North Sunshine Eagles.
| Port Melbourne SC | Draw | North Sunshine Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 23% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 20% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Sunshine Eagles (rating 1412 vs 1466).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port Melbourne SC | North Sunshine Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port Melbourne SC 0–0–1 North Sunshine Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | North Sunshine Eagles | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Port Melbourne SC |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northcote City | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
| 2 | Melbourne Knights | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 36 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 30 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 29 |
| 7 | Eltham Redbacks | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 28 |
| 8 | North Geelong | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 34 | 28 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 26 |
| 10 | Western United FC NPL | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 45 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 23 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 22 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 15 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Port Melbourne SC | North Sunshine Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| North Geelong | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Langwarrin | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Western United FC NPL | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Eltham Redbacks | 0-8 L | 4-2 W |
| Melbourne Knights | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Manningham United Blues | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: North Sunshine Eagles (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port Melbourne SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-5 | 0-8 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
North Sunshine Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Preston Lions Australia Victoria Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 20/06 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Avondale Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port Melbourne SC vs North Sunshine Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an North Sunshine Eagles win (61%). Probabilities: Port Melbourne SC 17%, draw 21%, North Sunshine Eagles 61%.
How many goals are expected in Port Melbourne SC vs North Sunshine Eagles?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Port Melbourne SC 0.93 · North Sunshine Eagles 1.96), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Port Melbourne SC vs North Sunshine Eagles?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.