Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 27/07, 12:30
Prediction: Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin
Team pages: Bulleen Lions · Langwarrin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Bulleen Lions2.36
Langwarrin1.44
1X2
Bulleen Lions
Draw
Langwarrin
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bulleen Lions
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Langwarrin
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bulleen Lions
3–2–1
Langwarrin
(6 last)
- Langwarrin2-2Bulleen Lions
- Bulleen Lions2-1Langwarrin
- Langwarrin1-4Bulleen Lions
- Langwarrin4-2Bulleen Lions
- Bulleen Lions0-0Langwarrin
- Langwarrin0-3Bulleen Lions
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bulleen Lions 1502 · Langwarrin 1488
| Bulleen Lions | Draw | Langwarrin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 58% | 19% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bulleen Lions: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bulleen Lions | Langwarrin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.1 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulleen Lions 3–2–1 Langwarrin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Langwarrin | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Bulleen Lions |
| 26/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Bulleen Lions | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Langwarrin |
| 14/02/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Langwarrin | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Bulleen Lions |
| 12/07/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Langwarrin | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Bulleen Lions |
| 15/04/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Bulleen Lions | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Langwarrin |
| 03/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Langwarrin | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bulleen Lions |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 17 | 47 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 45 |
| 3 | Northcote City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 34 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 32 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 46 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 42 | 28 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 44 | 27 |
| 11 | Western United FC NPL | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 59 | 25 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 46 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 19 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 51 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bulleen Lions | Langwarrin |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Knights | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Brunswick Juventus | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Melbourne Victory NPL | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Eltham Redbacks | 2-2 D | 1-6 L |
| Port Melbourne SC | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Manningham United Blues | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Northcote City | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Bulleen Lions (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bulleen Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 15/05 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Langwarrin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulleen Lions win (58%). Probabilities: Bulleen Lions 58%, draw 20%, Langwarrin 22%.
How many goals are expected in Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Bulleen Lions 2.36 · Langwarrin 1.44), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bulleen Lions vs Langwarrin?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.