Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 25/07, 07:15

Prediction: Manningham United Blues vs Melbourne Knights

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Manningham United Blues1.16

Melbourne Knights1.85

1X2

24% 23% 53%

Manningham United Blues Draw Melbourne Knights

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Manningham United Blues 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Melbourne Knights 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manningham United Blues 0–1–2 Melbourne Knights (3 last)

Melbourne Knights0-0Manningham United Blues
Melbourne Knights1-0Manningham United Blues
Manningham United Blues1-2Melbourne Knights

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manningham United Blues 1466 · Melbourne Knights 1562

	Manningham United Blues	Draw	Melbourne Knights
Our model	23%	25%	52%
Market	24%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melbourne Knights (rating 1466 vs 1562).
H2H favours Melbourne Knights: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manningham United Blues	Melbourne Knights
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.5	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	3.6 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.70

X4.10

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +2’	3.70	4.10	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manningham United Blues 0–1–2 Melbourne Knights

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Melbourne Knights	0-0 HT 0-0	Manningham United Blues
05/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria	Melbourne Knights	1-0 HT 1-0	Manningham United Blues
06/04/24 Australia NPL Victoria	Manningham United Blues	1-2 HT 1-1	Melbourne Knights

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	21	14	2	5	37	16	44
2	Brunswick Juventus	21	14	0	7	41	30	42
3	Northcote City	21	12	4	5	37	23	40
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	21	10	4	7	50	35	34
5	Bulleen Lions	21	9	6	6	37	29	33
6	Eltham Redbacks	21	9	5	7	49	36	32
7	Manningham United Blues	21	9	3	9	37	41	30
8	FC Melbourne Srbija	20	9	2	9	24	23	29
9	North Geelong	20	9	1	10	33	39	28
10	Western United FC NPL	21	8	1	12	44	54	25
11	Brunswick City	21	7	3	11	36	44	24
12	Langwarrin	21	6	5	10	36	46	23
13	North Sunshine Eagles	21	5	4	12	29	37	19
14	Port Melbourne SC	21	3	4	14	11	48	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manningham United Blues	Melbourne Knights
Northcote City	3-3 D	1-0 W
North Sunshine Eagles	2-2 D	1-1 D
North Geelong	2-3 L	2-1 W
Langwarrin	1-4 L	4-1 W
Brunswick City	1-3 L	2-0 W
Bulleen Lions	2-1 W	3-1 W
Brunswick Juventus	1-0 W	0-1 L
Melbourne Victory NPL	0-4 L	2-1 W
Eltham Redbacks	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Melbourne Knights (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manningham United Blues

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-3	3-3	3	1	D
04/07	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	2-2	2	10	D
20/06	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-3	7	7	L
13/06	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	1-4	6	3	L
06/06	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-2	3-4	3	5	L
29/05	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-3	9	0	L
23/05	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-1	5	10	W
16/05	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/05	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-4	2	2	L
02/05	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	2-1	4	6	W

Melbourne Knights

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-0	12	5	W
10/07	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
03/07	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
20/06	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/06	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
06/06	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
01/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
24/05	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
15/05	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
09/05	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-1	4-1	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manningham United Blues vs Melbourne Knights?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne Knights win (53%). Probabilities: Manningham United Blues 24%, draw 23%, Melbourne Knights 53%.

How many goals are expected in Manningham United Blues vs Melbourne Knights?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Manningham United Blues 1.16 · Melbourne Knights 1.85), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Manningham United Blues vs Melbourne Knights?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.