Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 22/08, 10:15

Prediction: FC Melbourne Srbija vs Bulleen Lions

Team pages: FC Melbourne Srbija · Bulleen Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

FC Melbourne Srbija1.24

Bulleen Lions1.43

1X2

33% 26% 41%

FC Melbourne Srbija Draw Bulleen Lions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Melbourne Srbija 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Bulleen Lions 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Melbourne Srbija 1–1–1 Bulleen Lions (3 last)

Bulleen Lions0-0FC Melbourne Srbija
Bulleen Lions0-3FC Melbourne Srbija
FC Melbourne Srbija0-2Bulleen Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Melbourne Srbija 1562 · Bulleen Lions 1529

	FC Melbourne Srbija	Draw	Bulleen Lions
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	34%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Melbourne Srbija	Bulleen Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.6	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	1.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.80

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
07:37 +19’	2.63	3.80	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Melbourne Srbija 1–1–1 Bulleen Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Bulleen Lions	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Melbourne Srbija
24/08/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Bulleen Lions	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Melbourne Srbija
10/05/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	FC Melbourne Srbija	0-2 HT 0-1	Bulleen Lions

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	22	15	3	4	41	15	48
2	Northcote City	22	13	4	5	36	22	43
3	Brunswick Juventus	22	13	2	7	37	25	41
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	22	11	4	7	48	32	37
5	Bulleen Lions	22	10	6	6	40	29	36
6	FC Melbourne Srbija	22	10	3	9	25	24	33
7	Eltham Redbacks	22	9	5	8	49	35	32
8	Manningham United Blues	22	9	3	10	32	42	30
9	North Geelong	23	9	1	13	31	48	28
10	Brunswick City	22	8	3	11	40	45	27
11	Langwarrin	22	5	5	12	37	51	20
12	North Sunshine Eagles	23	4	5	14	27	38	17
13	Port Melbourne SC	22	4	4	14	12	49	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Melbourne Srbija	Bulleen Lions
Brunswick Juventus	1-1 D	5-1 W
North Geelong	1-0 W	4-0 W
Melbourne Victory NPL	0-1 L	2-4 L
Eltham Redbacks	2-0 W	2-2 D
Melbourne Knights	2-0 W	1-3 L
North Sunshine Eagles	2-1 W	2-1 W
Langwarrin	0-0 D	3-1 W
Western United FC NPL	3-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Melbourne Srbija (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Melbourne Srbija

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
08/08	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/08	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	9	0	L
24/07	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
18/07	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	14	7	L
03/07	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	3-2	8	4	W
20/06	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-1	2	1	W
30/05	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
23/05	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	3-0	5	1	W

Bulleen Lions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-1	0	2	W
01/08	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	4-0	0	6	W
27/07	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
19/07	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	4-2	6	3	W
13/07	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-1	8	4	D
03/07	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
19/06	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	5-1	0	4	W
16/06	Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
13/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-4	10	3	L
05/06	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-2	8	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Melbourne Srbija vs Bulleen Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bulleen Lions win (41%). Probabilities: FC Melbourne Srbija 33%, draw 26%, Bulleen Lions 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Melbourne Srbija vs Bulleen Lions?

The model expects 2.67 goals (FC Melbourne Srbija 1.24 · Bulleen Lions 1.43), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Melbourne Srbija vs Bulleen Lions?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.