Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Brunswick Juventus vs Manningham United Blues

Team pages: Brunswick Juventus · Manningham United Blues

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Brunswick Juventus2.56

Manningham United Blues1.21

1X2

66% 18% 16%

Brunswick Juventus Draw Manningham United Blues

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Brunswick Juventus 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Manningham United Blues 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brunswick Juventus 2–1–3 Manningham United Blues (6 last)

Manningham United Blues1-0Brunswick Juventus
Manningham United Blues4-3Brunswick Juventus
Brunswick Juventus1-2Manningham United Blues
Manningham United Blues1-2Brunswick Juventus
Brunswick Juventus2-2Manningham United Blues
Brunswick Juventus4-3Manningham United Blues

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brunswick Juventus 1536 · Manningham United Blues 1417

	Brunswick Juventus	Draw	Manningham United Blues
Our model	66%	19%	15%
Market	66%	18%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brunswick Juventus (rating 1536 vs 1417).
H2H favours Manningham United Blues: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brunswick Juventus	Manningham United Blues
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.00

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.36▲	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.00 → 5.75▼	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:19 +5’	1.33	5.00	6.00
23:53 +3’	1.36▲	5.00	5.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brunswick Juventus 2–1–3 Manningham United Blues

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Manningham United Blues	1-0 HT 0-0	Brunswick Juventus
29/07/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Manningham United Blues	4-3 HT 1-1	Brunswick Juventus
28/04/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Brunswick Juventus	1-2 HT 0-0	Manningham United Blues
13/08/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Manningham United Blues	1-2 HT 1-0	Brunswick Juventus
20/05/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Brunswick Juventus	2-2 HT 1-0	Manningham United Blues
23/04/21 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Brunswick Juventus	4-3 HT 1-1	Manningham United Blues

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	23	15	3	5	41	17	48
2	Brunswick Juventus	23	14	2	7	39	26	44
3	Northcote City	23	13	4	6	37	24	43
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	23	12	4	7	51	32	40
5	Bulleen Lions	23	11	6	6	41	29	39
6	Eltham Redbacks	23	10	5	8	51	35	35
7	FC Melbourne Srbija	23	10	3	10	25	25	33
8	Manningham United Blues	23	9	3	11	32	45	30
9	North Geelong	23	9	1	13	31	48	28
10	Brunswick City	23	8	3	12	40	47	27
11	Langwarrin	23	6	5	12	39	51	23
12	North Sunshine Eagles	24	5	5	14	29	38	20
13	Port Melbourne SC	23	4	4	15	12	51	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brunswick Juventus	Manningham United Blues
Northcote City	2-1 W	3-3 D
FC Melbourne Srbija	1-1 D	1-0 W
North Sunshine Eagles	0-0 D	2-2 D
North Geelong	3-0 W	2-3 L
Langwarrin	1-0 W	1-4 L
Melbourne Knights	1-0 W	1-5 L
Melbourne Victory NPL	0-4 L	0-3 L
Eltham Redbacks	2-1 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Brunswick Juventus (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brunswick Juventus

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
15/08	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
01/08	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
25/07	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
18/07	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
03/07	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-0	7-2	4	2	W
19/06	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-5	9	4	L
12/06	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
08/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	0-4	9	7	L
30/05	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	2-1	4	3	W

Manningham United Blues

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
14/08	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-5	2	1	L
01/08	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	11	8	L
25/07	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-5	1-5	2	2	L
17/07	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-3	3-3	3	1	D
11/07	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
04/07	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	2-2	2	10	D
20/06	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-3	7	7	L
13/06	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	1-4	6	3	L
06/06	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-2	3-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brunswick Juventus vs Manningham United Blues?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brunswick Juventus win (66%). Probabilities: Brunswick Juventus 66%, draw 18%, Manningham United Blues 16%.

How many goals are expected in Brunswick Juventus vs Manningham United Blues?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Brunswick Juventus 2.56 · Manningham United Blues 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brunswick Juventus vs Manningham United Blues?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.