Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 22/08, 07:00

Prediction: North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City

Team pages: North Sunshine Eagles · Brunswick City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

North Sunshine Eagles1.58

Brunswick City1.64

1X2

37% 24% 39%

North Sunshine Eagles Draw Brunswick City

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

North Sunshine Eagles 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Brunswick City 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

North Sunshine Eagles 1–2–1 Brunswick City (4 last)

Brunswick City1-1North Sunshine Eagles
Brunswick City1-1North Sunshine Eagles
North Sunshine Eagles2-1Brunswick City
Brunswick City2-1North Sunshine Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · North Sunshine Eagles 1466 · Brunswick City 1535

	North Sunshine Eagles	Draw	Brunswick City
Our model	36%	25%	39%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brunswick City (rating 1466 vs 1535).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Sunshine Eagles	Brunswick City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6	1.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +3’	2.40	4.00	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · North Sunshine Eagles 1–2–1 Brunswick City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick City	1-1 HT 0-1	North Sunshine Eagles
05/09/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick City	1-1 HT 0-0	North Sunshine Eagles
05/07/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	North Sunshine Eagles	2-1 HT 1-0	Brunswick City
28/03/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick City	2-1	North Sunshine Eagles

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	22	15	3	4	41	15	48
2	Northcote City	22	13	4	5	36	22	43
3	Brunswick Juventus	22	13	2	7	37	25	41
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	22	11	4	7	48	32	37
5	Bulleen Lions	22	10	6	6	40	29	36
6	FC Melbourne Srbija	22	10	3	9	25	24	33
7	Eltham Redbacks	22	9	5	8	49	35	32
8	Manningham United Blues	22	9	3	10	32	42	30
9	North Geelong	23	9	1	13	31	48	28
10	Brunswick City	22	8	3	11	40	45	27
11	Langwarrin	22	5	5	12	37	51	20
12	North Sunshine Eagles	23	4	5	14	27	38	17
13	Port Melbourne SC	22	4	4	14	12	49	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Sunshine Eagles	Brunswick City
Bulleen Lions	1-2 L	1-1 D
Brunswick Juventus	0-0 D	2-7 L
Melbourne Victory NPL	0-1 L	1-4 L
Eltham Redbacks	1-1 D	3-1 W
Port Melbourne SC	5-0 W	3-1 W
Manningham United Blues	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

North Sunshine Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
12/08	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
01/08	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/07	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
18/07	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/07	White City FK Beograd Australia Cup	0-0	3-2	4	5	W
11/07	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-0	5-0	8	1	W
07/07	Preston Lions Australia Victoria Cup	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
04/07	Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-2	8	10	D
20/06	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-2	5	4	L

Brunswick City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	4-0	5	10	W
01/08	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	4-3	1	4	W
24/07	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	5-0	6	2	W
17/07	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
13/07	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
03/07	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-3	2-7	2	2	L
22/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
12/06	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
06/06	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-1	3-1	7	8	W
29/05	Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	3-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brunswick City win (39%). Probabilities: North Sunshine Eagles 37%, draw 24%, Brunswick City 39%.

How many goals are expected in North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City?

The model expects 3.22 goals (North Sunshine Eagles 1.58 · Brunswick City 1.64), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick City?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.