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Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 21/07, 21:15

Prediction: Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Valur Reykjavik (W)1.01
Breidablik (W)2.33
1X2
14% 19% 66%
Valur Reykjavik (W) Draw Breidablik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Valur Reykjavik (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLDDDL
Breidablik (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLWLW
Head-to-head
Valur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Breidablik (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1453 · Breidablik (W) 1537
Valur Reykjavik (W)DrawBreidablik (W)
Our model14%20%66%
Market15%19%67%
Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (W) (rating 1453 vs 1537).
  • H2H favours Breidablik (W): 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Valur Reykjavik (W)Breidablik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.42.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.81 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.14.7 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.22.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Breidablik (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/05/26
Iceland Premier League Women
Breidablik (W)3-2
HT 1-2
Valur Reykjavik (W)
05/02/26
Iceland Cup Women
Breidablik (W)1-2
HT 0-2
Valur Reykjavik (W)
11/10/25
Iceland Premier League Women
Valur Reykjavik (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Breidablik (W)
04/08/25
Iceland Premier League Women
Valur Reykjavik (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Breidablik (W)
16/05/25
Iceland Premier League Women
Breidablik (W)4-0
HT 3-0
Valur Reykjavik (W)
11/04/25
Iceland Super Cup Women
Breidablik (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Valur Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 11821 371626
2 Breidablik (W) 11803 311524
3 Stjarnan (W) 11632 201121
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 12624 192020
5 Throttur Reykjavik (W) 11416 141713
6 Fram Reykjavik (W) 12417 142613
7 Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 12336 182312
8 Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 11335 122112
9 Valur Reykjavik (W) 11245 101410
10 Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 12318 203210

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentValur Reykjavik (W)Breidablik (W)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1-2 L 3-0 W
Stjarnan (W) 1-1 D 1-3 L
FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1-1 D 2-3 L
Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 0-0 D 3-1 W
Throttur Reykjavik (W) 0-1 L 2-3 L
Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1-0 W 4-1 W
Fram Reykjavik (W) 0-0 D 2-3 L
Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 2-3 L 5-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valur Reykjavik (W)

LLLDWLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-2 1-2 70 L
10/07 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-1 1-1 45 D
23/06 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 1-1 1-1 23 D
13/06 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-0 0-0 64 D
29/05 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-1 0-1 42 L
25/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-0 1-0 42 W
20/05 Fram Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-0 0-0 40 D
15/05 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
 0-1 2-3 63 L
11/05 Breidablik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 2-1 2-3 24 L
06/05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 1-1 2-3 23 L

Breidablik (W)

WWLWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-0 4-1 100 W
09/07 Fram Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 2-1 2-3 101 L
22/06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 3-0 3-0 71 W
13/06 Stjarnan (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-1 1-3 72 L
30/05 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 2-0 5-0 01 W
25/05 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 1-1 2-3 83 L
20/05 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 0-0 3-1 123 W
16/05 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
 0-1 2-3 77 L
11/05 Valur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 1-2 3-2 124 W
06/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Premier League Women
 1-0 4-2 70 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Breidablik (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik (W) 14%, draw 19%, Breidablik (W) 66%.

How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.01 · Breidablik (W) 2.33), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Breidablik (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.