Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 29/07, 21:15
Prediction: Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Fram Reykjavik (W)1.46
Valur Reykjavik (W)1.59
1X2
Fram Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Valur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fram Reykjavik (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Valur Reykjavik (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fram Reykjavik (W)
3–2–1
Valur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)0-0Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)1-2Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)5-0Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Fram Reykjavik (W)1-0Valur Reykjavik (W)
- Valur Reykjavik (W)1-2Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Fram Reykjavik (W)2-2Valur Reykjavik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1525 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1441
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Valur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fram Reykjavik (W) (rating 1525 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Fram Reykjavik (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | Valur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.4 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik (W) 3–2–1 Valur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 09/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 16/01/26 Iceland Cup Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 20/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
| 15/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 12/05/25 Iceland Cup Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 13 |
| 8 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 12 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fram Reykjavik (W) | Valur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-2 W | 1-7 L |
| Stjarnan (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fram Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
5-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
Valur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Valur Reykjavik (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik (W) 35%, draw 25%, Valur Reykjavik (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.46 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.59), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.