Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 21/07, 21:15
Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Stjarnan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2.41
Stjarnan (W)1.61
1X2
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Draw
Stjarnan (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Stjarnan (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
5–1–0
Stjarnan (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1633 · Stjarnan (W) 1549
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Draw | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1633 vs 1549).
- H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Stjarnan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.2 / 1.4 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 8.3 | 3.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 5–1–0 Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 16/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | Stjarnan (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 01/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 3-4 HT 2-2 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 21/08/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 09/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 08/02/25 Iceland Cup Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 6 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 13 |
| 7 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 12 |
| 8 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 12 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Stjarnan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 7-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 6-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 09/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 7-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 19 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland Cup Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (54%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 54%, draw 22%, Stjarnan (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model expects 4.01 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.41 · Stjarnan (W) 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Stjarnan (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.