Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 29/07, 20:00

Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1.41

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2.54

1X2

19% 20% 61%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Draw FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLWWLL

FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 0–1–5 FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (6 last)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)2-2FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)3-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)5-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)0-2FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)1-3FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1475 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1618

	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	Draw	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Our model	19%	20%	61%
Market	19%	20%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1475 vs 1618).
H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	4.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	3.9 / 8.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.50

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.82

2 (-1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +2’	4.75	4.50	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 0–1–5 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Iceland Cup Women	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
20/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
17/02/24 Iceland Cup Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	5-1 HT 3-1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
27/08/23 Iceland Premier League Women	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
21/06/23 Iceland Premier League Women	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)
15/06/23 Iceland Cup Women	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	12	9	2	1	44	19	29
2	Breidablik (W)	12	9	0	3	38	16	27
3	Stjarnan (W)	12	6	3	3	23	18	21
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	12	6	2	4	19	20	20
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	12	4	3	5	16	23	15
6	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	12	4	1	7	16	21	13
7	Fram Reykjavik (W)	12	4	1	7	14	26	13
8	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	12	3	3	6	18	23	12
9	Valur Reykjavik (W)	12	2	4	6	11	21	10
10	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	12	3	1	8	20	32	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)	0-1 L	7-3 W
Valur Reykjavik (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	3-1 W	5-2 W
Breidablik (W)	0-3 L	3-2 W
Stjarnan (W)	0-2 L	7-3 W
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	1-1 D	6-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)

LDLDDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
19/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
15/07	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	6	0	W
09/07	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	3-1	7	0	W
22/06	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	6	1	L
17/06	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Cup Women	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
13/06	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
30/05	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	0	1	L
25/05	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
20/05	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	1	1	L

FH Hafnarfjordur (W)

WWWWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	7-3	8	1	W
16/07	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	6-1	11	1	W
09/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-2	7-3	7	1	W
23/06	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
17/06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women	1-1	2-2	19	0	D
13/06	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	5-2	9	0	W
30/05	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	6-2	7	1	W
25/05	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
20/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
15/05	Selfoss (W) Iceland Cup Women	3-0	7-0	12	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (61%). Probabilities: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 19%, draw 20%, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 61%.

How many goals are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

The model expects 3.94 goals (IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) 1.41 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.54), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.