Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 28/07, 21:15
Prediction: Stjarnan (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Stjarnan (W)2.17
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1.36
1X2
Stjarnan (W)
Draw
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stjarnan (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stjarnan (W)
0–3–0
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
(3 last)
- Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1-1Stjarnan (W)
- Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1-1Stjarnan (W)
- Grindavik/Njardvik (W)2-2Stjarnan (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stjarnan (W) 1569 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1513
| Stjarnan (W) | Draw | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjarnan (W) (rating 1569 vs 1513).
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stjarnan (W) | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.6 | 3.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjarnan (W) 0–3–0 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Iceland Cup Women | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 20/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 03/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Stjarnan (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 13 |
| 8 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 12 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stjarnan (W) | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 1-6 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stjarnan (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stjarnan (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stjarnan (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Stjarnan (W) 55%, draw 22%, Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Stjarnan (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Stjarnan (W) 2.17 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stjarnan (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.