Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 28/07, 21:15
Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Throttur Reykjavik (W)2.1
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.59
1X2
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
4–2
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)1-0Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-4Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)2-4Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)0-6Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)3-2Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)2-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1476 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1435
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (W) (rating 1476 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 4–0–2 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Iceland Cup Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 20/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 23/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 16/01/26 Iceland Cup Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 25/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
| 08/08/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 13 |
| 8 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 12 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 2-5 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 0-2 L | 6-4 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/06 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 6-4 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik (W) 49%, draw 23%, Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Throttur Reykjavik (W) 2.1 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.59), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.