Football · Iceland Premier League · 26/07, 21:15
Prediction: IA Akranes vs Stjarnan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
IA Akranes1.98
Stjarnan1.89
1X2
IA Akranes
Draw
Stjarnan
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IA Akranes
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Stjarnan
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IA Akranes
1–5
Stjarnan
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjarnan (rating 1440 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Stjarnan: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IA Akranes | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 2.2 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IA Akranes 1–0–5 Stjarnan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Stjarnan |
| 14/04/25 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 2-1 HT 1-1 | IA Akranes |
| 30/09/24 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | IA Akranes |
| 28/07/24 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Stjarnan |
| 05/05/24 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 4-1 HT 1-1 | IA Akranes |
| 13/01/24 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Stjarnan | 1-2 HT 1-0 | IA Akranes |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 35 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 28 | 33 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 26 | 26 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 19 |
| 7 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 16 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 14 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 12 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IA Akranes | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| KA Akureyri | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Breidablik | 1-2 L | 4-4 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-5 L | 0-5 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Thor Akureyri | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: IA Akranes (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IA Akranes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 12/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
Stjarnan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 16/07 | Vikingur Gota UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/07 | Vikingur Gota UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 03/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | Afturelding Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IA Akranes win (41%). Probabilities: IA Akranes 41%, draw 23%, Stjarnan 37%.
How many goals are expected in IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
The model expects 3.87 goals (IA Akranes 1.98 · Stjarnan 1.89), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.