Football · Iceland Premier League · 05/08, 21:15
Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
Team pages: FH Hafnarfjordur · KR Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
FH Hafnarfjordur1.64
KR Reykjavik2.36
1X2
FH Hafnarfjordur
Draw
KR Reykjavik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
KR Reykjavik
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FH Hafnarfjordur
1–1–4
KR Reykjavik
(6 last)
- KR Reykjavik4-2FH Hafnarfjordur
- KR Reykjavik3-2FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur2-2KR Reykjavik
- KR Reykjavik1-0FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur1-2KR Reykjavik
- FH Hafnarfjordur3-1KR Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FH Hafnarfjordur 1480 · KR Reykjavik 1542
| FH Hafnarfjordur | Draw | KR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| Market | 26% | 21% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KR Reykjavik (rating 1480 vs 1542).
- H2H favours KR Reykjavik: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FH Hafnarfjordur | KR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 3.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.5 | 3.1 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur 1–1–4 KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 4-2 HT 4-2 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 29/06/25 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 23/04/25 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 2-2 HT 1-1 | KR Reykjavik |
| 12/08/24 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 20/05/24 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-2 HT 0-2 | KR Reykjavik |
| 07/10/23 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 3-1 HT 1-0 | KR Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 26 | 29 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 19 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 18 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 15 |
| 10 | Stjarnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 15 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 13 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FH Hafnarfjordur | KR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Breidablik | 0-0 D | 3-6 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Stjarnan | 2-2 D | 5-0 W |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Keflavik | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| IA Akranes | 0-1 L | 5-3 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| KA Akureyri | 1-2 L | 5-3 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 5 D 3 L | 5 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: KR Reykjavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FH Hafnarfjordur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 5-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-3 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 22/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KR Reykjavik win (53%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur 26%, draw 21%, KR Reykjavik 53%.
How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?
The model expects 4.01 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur 1.64 · KR Reykjavik 2.36), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.