Football · Iceland Premier League · 01/08, 16:00
Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram Reykjavik
Team pages: IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Fram Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.6
Fram Reykjavik2.13
1X2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw
Fram Reykjavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Fram Reykjavik
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–2–2
Fram Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Fram Reykjavik5-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- Fram Reykjavik2-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-1Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik2-2IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2Fram Reykjavik
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0Fram Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1501 · Fram Reykjavik 1568
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Draw | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 22% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fram Reykjavik (rating 1501 vs 1568).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 3.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–2–2 Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 5-1 HT 2-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 29/06/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 2-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 24/04/25 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 02/03/24 Iceland League Cup | Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 2-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 23/09/23 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 08/07/23 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 26 | 29 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 19 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 18 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 15 |
| 10 | Stjarnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 15 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 13 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| KA Akureyri | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| KR Reykjavik | 2-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Stjarnan | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 4-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Keflavik | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| IA Akranes | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 6 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Fram Reykjavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fram Reykjavik win (49%). Probabilities: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 28%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 49%.
How many goals are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.72 goals (IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.6 · Fram Reykjavik 2.13), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.