Football · Iceland Premier League · 02/08, 16:00
Prediction: IA Akranes vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Team pages: IA Akranes · Vikingur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
IA Akranes1.51
Vikingur Reykjavik2.5
1X2
IA Akranes
Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
IA Akranes
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Vikingur Reykjavik
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IA Akranes
0–6
Vikingur Reykjavik
(6 last)
- IA Akranes1-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik4-0IA Akranes
- Vikingur Reykjavik5-3IA Akranes
- IA Akranes0-1Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik2-1IA Akranes
- IA Akranes3-4Vikingur Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IA Akranes 1448 · Vikingur Reykjavik 1600
| IA Akranes | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1448 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IA Akranes | Vikingur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 4.7 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IA Akranes 0–0–6 Vikingur Reykjavik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Iceland Cup | IA Akranes | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 27/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-0 HT 0-0 | IA Akranes |
| 06/12/25 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5-3 HT 3-3 | IA Akranes |
| 17/08/25 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 24/05/25 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 2-1 | IA Akranes |
| 19/10/24 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 3-4 HT 2-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 26 | 29 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 19 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 18 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 15 |
| 10 | Stjarnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 15 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 13 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IA Akranes | Vikingur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Keflavik | 2-5 L | 5-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Breidablik | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IA Akranes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 12/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
Vikingur Reykjavik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 14/07 | Gyori ETO UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/07 | Gyori ETO UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 28/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IA Akranes vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Reykjavik win (58%). Probabilities: IA Akranes 21%, draw 21%, Vikingur Reykjavik 58%.
How many goals are expected in IA Akranes vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model expects 4.01 goals (IA Akranes 1.51 · Vikingur Reykjavik 2.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IA Akranes vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.