Football · Iceland Premier League · 27/07, 21:15
Prediction: KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
KA Akureyri2.2
Thor Akureyri1.48
1X2
KA Akureyri
Draw
Thor Akureyri
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KA Akureyri
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Thor Akureyri
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KA Akureyri
3–2–1
Thor Akureyri
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KA Akureyri (rating 1466 vs 1414).
- H2H favours KA Akureyri: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KA Akureyri | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.6 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Akureyri 3–2–1 Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 0-1 HT 0-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 02/03/23 Iceland League Cup | KA Akureyri | 1-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 21/04/21 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | KA Akureyri | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 01/02/19 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | KA Akureyri | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Thor Akureyri |
| 28/01/18 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Thor Akureyri | 1-1 HT 0-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 03/02/17 Iceland Cup | Thor Akureyri | 6-1 HT 2-0 | KA Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 35 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 28 | 33 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 26 | 26 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 19 |
| 7 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 16 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 14 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 12 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KA Akureyri | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| IA Akranes | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Stjarnan | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 3-4 L | 1-6 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: KA Akureyri (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KA Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | KF Aegir Iceland Cup |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 08/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KA Akureyri win (53%). Probabilities: KA Akureyri 53%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 25%.
How many goals are expected in KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
The model expects 3.68 goals (KA Akureyri 2.2 · Thor Akureyri 1.48), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.