Football · Iceland Premier League · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik
Team pages: KR Reykjavik · Breidablik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.54Total
KR Reykjavik2.84
Breidablik1.7
1X2
KR Reykjavik
Draw
Breidablik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
KR Reykjavik
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Breidablik
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KR Reykjavik
1–2–3
Breidablik
(6 last)
- Breidablik6-3KR Reykjavik
- Breidablik2-5KR Reykjavik
- KR Reykjavik1-1Breidablik
- Breidablik3-3KR Reykjavik
- Breidablik4-2KR Reykjavik
- KR Reykjavik2-3Breidablik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KR Reykjavik 1567 · Breidablik 1515
| KR Reykjavik | Draw | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KR Reykjavik (rating 1567 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Breidablik: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KR Reykjavik | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.9 | 3.3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KR Reykjavik 1–2–3 Breidablik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 6-3 HT 4-2 | KR Reykjavik |
| 28/03/26 Europe Friendlies | Breidablik | 2-5 HT 0-4 | KR Reykjavik |
| 26/07/25 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Breidablik |
| 05/05/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-3 HT 0-0 | KR Reykjavik |
| 21/07/24 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 4-2 HT 3-1 | KR Reykjavik |
| 28/04/24 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Breidablik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 64 | 39 | 39 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 22 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
| 7 | Keflavik | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 22 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 43 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 17 |
| 10 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 15 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KR Reykjavik | Breidablik |
|---|---|---|
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Stjarnan | 5-0 W | 4-4 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Keflavik | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| IA Akranes | 5-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| KA Akureyri | 5-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KR Reykjavik (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 5-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-3 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
Breidablik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KR Reykjavik win (60%). Probabilities: KR Reykjavik 60%, draw 19%, Breidablik 20%.
How many goals are expected in KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
The model expects 4.54 goals (KR Reykjavik 2.84 · Breidablik 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.