Football · Iceland Premier League · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Team pages: Keflavik · IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Keflavik1.9
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.59
1X2
Keflavik
Draw
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Keflavik
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Keflavik
2–2–2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
(6 last)
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar6-1Keflavik
- Keflavik1-0IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- Keflavik3-2IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar5-0Keflavik
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-1Keflavik
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-1Keflavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keflavik 1495 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1490
| Keflavik | Draw | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Keflavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keflavik 2–2–2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Keflavik |
| 15/02/25 Iceland League Cup | Keflavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 30/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Keflavik | 3-2 HT 1-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 30/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 5-0 HT 0-0 | Keflavik |
| 07/10/23 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Keflavik |
| 16/07/23 Iceland Premier League | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Keflavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 25 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 23 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 46 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 41 | 17 |
| 10 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 15 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Keflavik | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|
| Thor Akureyri | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Stjarnan | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-5 L | 2-2 D |
| IA Akranes | 5-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Breidablik | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 2-5 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 24/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 27/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Keflavik win (44%). Probabilities: Keflavik 44%, draw 24%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Keflavik 1.9 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.