Football · Iceland Premier League · 24/08, 21:15
Prediction: Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik
Team pages: Breidablik · Fram Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
Breidablik1.93
Fram Reykjavik1.97
1X2
Breidablik
Draw
Fram Reykjavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Breidablik
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Fram Reykjavik
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Breidablik
2–1–3
Fram Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Fram Reykjavik4-3Breidablik
- Breidablik3-1Fram Reykjavik
- Breidablik1-1Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik4-2Breidablik
- Breidablik1-3Fram Reykjavik
- Breidablik3-1Fram Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Breidablik 1512 · Fram Reykjavik 1543
| Breidablik | Draw | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 23% | 40% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fram Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.8 | 3.4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik 2–1–3 Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Breidablik |
| 05/10/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 23/06/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 13/04/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 4-2 HT 0-2 | Breidablik |
| 04/02/25 Iceland League Cup | Breidablik | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 19/08/24 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 25 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 23 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 46 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 41 | 17 |
| 10 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 15 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| KR Reykjavik | 3-3 D | 2-5 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Keflavik | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| IA Akranes | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 3-0 W | 0-5 L |
| KA Akureyri | 3-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Breidablik (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breidablik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 26/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fram Reykjavik win (39%). Probabilities: Breidablik 38%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 39%.
How many goals are expected in Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Breidablik 1.93 · Fram Reykjavik 1.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.