Football · Iceland Premier League · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: IA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur
Team pages: IA Akranes · FH Hafnarfjordur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
IA Akranes1.75
FH Hafnarfjordur1.35
1X2
IA Akranes
Draw
FH Hafnarfjordur
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
IA Akranes
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FH Hafnarfjordur
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IA Akranes
2–1–3
FH Hafnarfjordur
(6 last)
- FH Hafnarfjordur0-1IA Akranes
- FH Hafnarfjordur3-2IA Akranes
- IA Akranes1-3FH Hafnarfjordur
- IA Akranes4-1FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur1-1IA Akranes
- IA Akranes1-2FH Hafnarfjordur
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IA Akranes 1504 · FH Hafnarfjordur 1505
| IA Akranes | Draw | FH Hafnarfjordur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 24% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IA Akranes | FH Hafnarfjordur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IA Akranes 2–1–3 FH Hafnarfjordur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IA Akranes |
| 11/08/25 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 3-2 HT 1-2 | IA Akranes |
| 19/05/25 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 06/10/24 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 4-1 HT 3-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 22/07/24 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 HT 0-0 | IA Akranes |
| 28/04/24 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 25 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 23 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 46 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 41 | 17 |
| 10 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 15 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IA Akranes | FH Hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Thor Akureyri | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Stjarnan | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Keflavik | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Breidablik | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Fram Reykjavik | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 6 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IA Akranes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
FH Hafnarfjordur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IA Akranes win (46%). Probabilities: IA Akranes 46%, draw 25%, FH Hafnarfjordur 29%.
How many goals are expected in IA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
The model expects 3.1 goals (IA Akranes 1.75 · FH Hafnarfjordur 1.35), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.