Football · Iceland Premier League · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik
Team pages: Thor Akureyri · Keflavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Thor Akureyri1.82
Keflavik1.68
1X2
Thor Akureyri
Draw
Keflavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Thor Akureyri
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Keflavik
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Thor Akureyri
1–2–3
Keflavik
(6 last)
- Keflavik1-0Thor Akureyri
- Keflavik2-2Thor Akureyri
- Thor Akureyri2-4Keflavik
- Keflavik3-2Thor Akureyri
- Thor Akureyri1-1Keflavik
- Thor Akureyri4-1Keflavik
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Keflavik: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thor Akureyri | Keflavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thor Akureyri 1–2–3 Keflavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 25/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Keflavik | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Thor Akureyri |
| 18/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 2-4 HT 1-4 | Keflavik |
| 31/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Keflavik | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Thor Akureyri |
| 25/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Keflavik |
| 12/02/23 Iceland League Cup | Thor Akureyri | 4-1 | Keflavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 37 | 36 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 22 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
| 7 | Keflavik | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 22 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 43 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 17 |
| 10 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 15 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thor Akureyri | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| IA Akranes | 0-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Breidablik | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| KA Akureyri | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-3 D | 3-2 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-4 L | 1-6 L |
| Stjarnan | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Keflavik (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 24/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thor Akureyri win (41%). Probabilities: Thor Akureyri 41%, draw 24%, Keflavik 35%.
How many goals are expected in Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Thor Akureyri 1.82 · Keflavik 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.